IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.1	#63
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#95
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.2	#93

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.9	#32

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.8%	1.1%	0.2%
Top 2 Seed	2.4%	3.1%	0.3%
Top 4 Seed	6.8%	8.5%	1.3%
Top 6 Seed	13.3%	16.1%	4.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	35.8%	41.4%	18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	34.1%	39.5%	17.4%
Average Seed	7.4	7.3	8.5

.500 or above	55.1%	62.2%	32.4%
.500 or above in Conference	41.5%	46.0%	27.2%
Conference Champion	2.7%	3.4%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.1%	6.6%	13.1%

First Four	3.6%	3.9%	2.7%
First Round	33.9%	39.3%	16.6%
Second Round	19.5%	23.1%	8.0%
Sweet Sixteen	8.4%	10.1%	2.9%
Elite Eight	3.5%	4.2%	1.1%
Final Four	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 14
Quad 4	3 - 0	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	106	Georgia St.	W	82-74	76%
Nov 27, 2020	183	Mercer	W	78-65	89%
Dec 06, 2020	11	Kentucky	L	69-75	28%
Dec 09, 2020	113	@ Nebraska	W	79-77	58%
Dec 15, 2020	16	@ Florida St.	L	70-78	23%
Dec 18, 2020	318	Florida A&M	W	83-60	97%
Dec 20, 2020	346	Delaware St.	W	96-65	99.7%
Dec 23, 2020	131	@ UAB	W	71-67	65%
Dec 29, 2020	23	North Carolina	L	75-77	45%
Jan 03, 2021	103	Wake Forest	W	80-72	75%
Jan 05, 2021	70	@ Notre Dame	L	73-75	44%
Jan 09, 2021	26	@ Louisville	L	68-75	28%
Jan 12, 2021	87	Pittsburgh	W	71-65	68%
Jan 16, 2021	48	@ North Carolina St.	L	73-77	37%
Jan 19, 2021	49	Clemson	W	69-67	58%
Jan 23, 2021	6	@ Virginia	L	54-64	19%
Jan 26, 2021	5	@ Duke	L	72-83	18%
Jan 30, 2021	16	Florida St.	L	73-75	42%
Feb 06, 2021	70	Notre Dame	W	76-72	64%
Feb 09, 2021	6	Virginia	L	57-61	35%
Feb 13, 2021	49	@ Clemson	L	66-70	37%
Feb 16, 2021	101	Boston College	W	77-70	73%
Feb 20, 2021	43	@ Miami (FL)	L	72-76	36%
Feb 23, 2021	56	@ Virginia Tech	L	67-70	39%
Feb 27, 2021	35	Syracuse	W	74-73	52%
Mar 02, 2021	5	Duke	L	75-80	35%
Mar 05, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	W	77-75	54%
Projected Record						14 - 13	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.9	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0				3.3	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	1.4	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0					4.4	3rd
4th											0.0	0.4	1.7	2.4	0.9	0.1							5.6	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	1.6	2.9	1.4	0.1	0.0							6.2	5th
6th										0.1	1.4	3.3	2.0	0.3	0.0								7.1	6th
7th									0.1	1.2	3.8	2.5	0.4	0.0									8.0	7th
8th								0.1	0.8	3.3	3.4	0.7	0.0										8.2	8th
9th							0.0	0.6	2.8	3.9	1.2	0.1											8.5	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	2.2	4.2	1.9	0.2	0.0											8.9	10th
11th						0.2	2.0	4.1	2.1	0.3	0.0												8.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	1.8	3.5	2.8	0.6	0.0													8.9	12th
13th			0.0	0.2	1.5	3.0	2.4	0.6	0.1														7.8	13th
14th		0.0	0.5	1.5	2.4	1.7	0.6	0.0	0.0														6.7	14th
15th	0.1	0.7	1.2	1.3	1.0	0.4	0.0	0.0															4.7	15th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.7	3.0	5.1	7.1	9.0	10.4	10.7	10.7	10.1	8.6	7.5	5.8	3.8	2.7	1.6	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	93.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1
17-3	85.1%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
16-4	51.7%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	19.5%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	4.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	42.3%	57.7%	1.3		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.3%		100.0%	27.2%	72.8%	1.6		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.9%		100.0%	24.5%	75.5%	2.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	1.6%		100.0%	18.5%	81.5%	3.0		0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0												100.0%
15-5	2.7%		100.0%	15.6%	84.3%	4.0		0.1	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0									0.0		100.0%
14-6	3.8%		100.0%	10.9%	89.0%	5.2		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		100.0%
13-7	5.8%		98.0%	7.2%	90.8%	6.5			0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.1	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		97.9%
12-8	7.5%		91.6%	3.3%	88.3%	7.9				0.1	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.5	1.4	1.2	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				0.6		91.3%
11-9	8.6%		77.6%	1.9%	75.7%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.2	1.3	1.2	1.0	0.6	0.1				1.9		77.2%
10-10	10.1%		48.0%	0.9%	47.1%	10.3					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.8	1.2	1.2	0.2	0.0			5.3		47.5%
9-11	10.7%		16.3%	0.3%	16.0%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		9.0		16.1%
8-12	10.7%		3.6%	0.3%	3.3%	11.9								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			10.3		3.3%
7-13	10.4%		0.8%	0.1%	0.7%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			10.3		0.7%
6-14	9.0%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	12.8													0.0	0.0				9.0		0.0%
5-15	7.1%																							7.1
4-16	5.1%																							5.1
3-17	3.0%																							3.0
2-18	1.7%																							1.7
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		35.8%	2.5%	33.3%	7.4		0.8	1.6	1.9	2.5	3.0	3.4	4.5	4.3	3.8	3.2	3.2	2.8	0.7	0.1	0.0		64.2		34.1%